Making Sense of Uncertainty in Science and Policy

Uncertainty permeates decision-making and scientific inquiry, yet our ability to conceptualize, quantify, and communicate it remains surprisingly limited. This one-day workshop delves into pressing questions at the heart of uncertainty studies: What conditions enable the quantification of uncertainty? Is probability always the best tool for this task, or are alternative frameworks needed? How should we approach cases—like those in climate science—where uncertainty resists straightforward quantification? Crucially, are we ready to confront the limits of our mastery in understanding and articulating uncertainty? Join us for a day of rigorous discussion and fresh perspectives as we rethink the foundations and frontiers of uncertainty.